This evening, September 17, from AT&T Stadium, home of the Dallas Cowboys in Arlington, Texas, reigning Ring Magazine Middleweight champion Saul “Canelo” Alvarez (47-1-1, 33 KOs) will compete at 154 pounds for the first time in three years and challenge current WBO Super Welterweight titlist Liam “Beefy” Smith (23-0-1, 13 KOs) in the main event of a mammoth twelve-bout fight card, presented by Golden Boy Promotions. Sponsored by Revcontent
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The featured presentation, Canelo vs Smith, including three preliminary fights, can be purchased and viewed streaming online through http://www.goldenboyppv.com/ for a one time fee of $64.99, with Hall of Fame commentators Colonel Bob Sheridan and Larry Merchant calling the action for the Golden Boy Promotions feed.
The HBO PPV distribution, with commentators Jim Lampley, Roy Jones and Max Kellerman calling the action, can be purchased through your preferred cable and satellite provider with a start time of 9PM ET/6PM PT.
Bonus coverage, consisting of eight, off-TV preliminary fights, featuring GBP prospects Eddie Gomez, Sadam Ali, Hector Tanajara Jr. and Joshua Franco, can be viewed by visiting RingTvLive.com, starting at 3:20PM ET/12:20PM PT.
Leading into the scheduled twelve round main event, Saul “Canelo” Alvarez is currently listed as a 12 to 1 (-1225) betting favorite on most Race and Sports Books, while current champ Liam Smith is registered as an almost 9 to 1 (+875) betting underdog.
Will the actual fight reflect the huge disparity in odds?
Canelo vs Smith projections and preliminary observations Most ringside observers believe the Mexican superstar is currently competing on a different level than the incumbent title holder. Although Liam is the reigning champ going into the fight, Canelo seems to possess the faster hands, the bigger power, the higher ring intelligence, the sharper technique and the greater level of experience.
Will the experts be proven correct in their collective assessment of this evening’s match-up, or will underdog and current WBO title holder Liam Smith pull off what would largely be considered a massive upset?
Anything can and often does happen in the squared circle, so let’s review the “Keys to Victory” for Canelo vs Smith.
Saul “Canelo” Alvarez (47-1-1, 33 KOs) – Considered the sharper, more devastating and intelligent puncher, Canelo’s primary key to victory is to punish his opponent with explosive counters early and often. Because Alvarez has the much faster hands and quicker reflexes, he has to send a major statement to the confident, undefeated champion within the first few rounds of the scheduled twelve round fight to be effective.
As soon as Liam comes forward and opens up, the 26 year old phenom must make his presence felt and make the champ pay with hard, stinging counters, turning the customary high-volume puncher into a more tentative fighter. Look for the roll counter, right uppercut on the inside, or counter left hook while Smith is throwing in range. When Canelo touches the champ effectively, he should follow up with creative combinations to the body and head.
Because Alvarez combines speed with power when he throws explosive punches, he sacrifices punch volume and consequently gives the impression that he’s lazy. He can’t afford to have lapses in work rate against a physically and mentally durable champion like Liam Smith.
If he doesn’t work with a more consistent work rate than he’s shown in the past, Canelo could lose close, competitive rounds on the judges’ scorecards by activity alone.
But with a very underrated roll-counter defense, and the more explosive, accurate combination punching, Canelo should have the clear advantage in tonight’s match-up.
If Canelo Alvarez can effectively counter the current champ with explosive punches every time Liam decides to open up, and work behind a more consistent work rate, the Mexican born phenom should walk away with a decisive points victory and possibly a mid to late rounds stoppage!!
Liam “Beefy” Smith (23-0-1, 13 KOs) – A consistent and high work rate is the primary Key to Victory for the reigning WBO title holder.
Winner of his last eight fights by way of knock-out, the Liverpool, Merseyside, UK native is a very underrated, fundamentally sound fighter who is capable of boxing proficiently from mid to long range. But to be victorious this evening against the razor sharp, explosive counter puncher, Liam will have to put on his hard-hat and get to work. – See more at: http://www.fightsaga.com/news/item/6469-Canelo-vs-Smith-prediction-forecast-odds-fight#sthash.FVg0L8r2.dpuf
