HOT POTATO VIA HOLLYWOOD, CALIFORNIA – Kim Jong Un vows ‘real war’ if a rocket from North Korean is shot down by his country’s enemies. But, sure, that’s not the case with Top Rank Godfather Robert “Bob” Arum and World Boxing Organization Welterweight Champion Manny Pacquiao over Pound-for-Pound king Floyd Mayweather, Jr. It’s even more of a firebug.
Even then, no need to pay attention to disturbing comments by US Navy pilot in the most recent murder-suicide than what Arum and Pacquiao would discuss when they meet each. other this week. Ironically, they both have all the best reasons to single out Mayweather, Jr. from the list of Pacquiao’s prospects for the purported June fight. It’s not all about the legal restriction that Mayweather, Jr. has, primary to his 90-day jail term to begin on June 1. They surely can pull out a much earlier date, if Arum and Pacquiao really want Mayweather, Jr. this soon. Even then, as once extended, I am sure the same jail term can be moved again to a much later date, if Mayweather, Jr. so appeals. Advertisement
But, Arum and Pacquiao would be at the begging end if they so choose the Mayweather fight without having Pacquiao demolished Marquez first on a fourth encounter. Granting Pacquiao destroys Marquez convincingly, he would still be the easy underdog; for Pacquiao’s 3-1 with Marquez, Mayweather, Jr. scored it once and free of controvertial(s), in fact.
Click here: Pacquiao vs Marquez IV egging for Philippine Independence Day Celebration
Consider this: as of today, Pacquiao suffers with an all-time low rating at +350 versus Mayweather, Jr.’s inversely defining high at -500.
Immediately status-post fight of Pacquiao-Marquez trilogy, Pacquiao took a downward slope at + 220 versus towering climb by Mayweather, Jr. to -300, which meant betting $100 for Mayweather would only win $ 33.33 and betting $100 for Pacquiao would win $220.
But, if the fight were held today and a bet of $ 100 for Mayweather, Jr. and granting he wins, one would only win $ 20. And with the same proposition, a bet of $ 100 for Pacquiao and granting he wins, one would handsomely win $ 350.
All these are based on standard deviation and other constructive variable computation of probabilities.
These probalities might be good for Pacquiao bettors but not good for Mayweather, Jr.’s. Worse, the same statistical derivatives are not good for Arum and Pacquiao at all.
Yes, it’s certainly not a good news for Arum and Pacquiao knowing that they would be on LOW-POWERED SEATS in the negotiation, if pursued. Pacquiao would be the crippling underdog, so to speak.
And it’s not going to be a good news for Las Vegas since so few would be betting for Mayweather, Jr., even though he would have the upperhand, all because they would have to put bigger dollars and yet win a lot less, if Mayweather, Jr. so wins.
And this betting perspective surely tells the boxing public who really deserves the higher share between these two competing top fighters.
Stay tuned for more!
